Dear Bishop Hill: read your links. Also, take a look at this graph.
And Stern 2015 : …Professor Stern, the chair of the Grantham research institute on climate change and the environment, said that it was a false dichotomy to posit growth against climate action. “To portray them as in conflict is to misunderstand economic development and the opportunities that we now have to move to the low-carbon economy,†he said. “To pretend otherwise is diversionary and indeed creates an ‘artificial horse race’ which can cause real damage to the prospects for agreement.†Green parties in Europe have often argued that decarbonisation requires an end to the model of economic growth “at all costsâ€