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August 22, 2012 0

CBO Expects 2013 "Fiscal Cliff" Recession Because of Automatic Spending Cuts and Tax Hikes

By News Desk

CBO Expects 2013 "Fiscal Cliff" Recession Because of Automatic Spending Cuts and Tax Hikes Automatic tax hikes and spending cuts will go into effect in 2013 causing a "fiscal cliff" recession according to the CBO. Massive spending cuts and tax hikes due next year will cause even worse economic damage than previously thought if Washington fails to come up with a solution, Congress’ budget referee said on Wednesday. The Congressional Budget Office said failure to avoid the so-called "fiscal cliff" of expiring tax cuts and automatic spending reductions would cause U.S

August 22, 2012 0

Eli’s Three Laws or Hansen Simply Explained

By News Desk

Eli’s Three Laws or Hansen Simply Explained There is an interesting to and fro over at Real Climate about the recent Hansen, Ruedy and Sato paper on an increase in climate extremes.  Eli had a go at the preprint.  Tamino has entered a demurral, which Eli suspects has an answer in what is below.  Now some, not Eli to be sure, think the Rabett is on occasion cryptic.  So be it, but in this case he has not quite worked through all the implications and it is better to be thought mysterious than foolish.  Still the Bunny is somewhat skilled in boiling things down, and at RC pointed out that there are three simple points in the Hansen paper First if there is an increasing/decreasing linear trend on a noisy series, the probability of reaching new maxima or minima increases with time Second, if you put more energy into a system variability increases. Third , if you put more energy into a system variability increases asymmetrically towards the direction favored by higher energy   Hank added a codicil Fourth, if you keep going in the direction you’re headed, you’ll get there.  The first point has been a standard here at RR and also in various comments about the web in the recent discussions about why there are more temperature maxima than minima.  The second is related to the idea that if the parametric landscape affecting anything is not smooth, excursions from a stable state require additional energy to overcome "attractions".

August 21, 2012 0

Greece Shortfall Rises another €2.5 Billion to €14 Billion; Proposed Solution is Zero Interest Rate on Emergency Loans

By News Desk

No one should be surprised to learn Greek Shortfall Growing Ever Larger Athens has not been having an easy time coming up with the €11.5 billion in cost cutting measures over the next two years it has promised Europe. Indeed, Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras is reportedly set to request an additional two years to make those cuts during meetings later this week with German Chancellor Angela Merkel on Friday and French President François Hollande on Saturday. But according to information obtained by SPIEGEL, the financing gap his country faces could be even greater.

August 19, 2012 0

ECB Considers Interest Rate Caps; Can Such a Scheme Possibly Work?

By News Desk

Here is a link to a translated article in Der Spiegel: ECB is planning to challenge interest rate speculation The European Central Bank (ECB) is considering to establish in its future bond purchases interest rate levels for each country. Thus, they would state papers of the crisis countries always buy when interest rates exceed a certain impact on their yields German Bunds.

August 19, 2012 0

Cognitive Dissonance and Good Advice

By News Desk

Anonymous said… You think that Tony has it in for you? Well, I’d like to let you know that I have also been a victim of Tony’s not-so-righteous wrath.Not long ago, I committed the ultimate crime (in Tony’s eyes).