Tag: global-warming

Brian Schmidt has a video
October 31, 2014 0

Brian Schmidt has a video

By News Desk

Tweet UPDATE:   Developing Story  see below Eli’s friend, Brian Schmidt is running for re-election to the Santa Clara Valley Water District Board.  Brian has been endorsed by the San Jose Mercury News and much of the other media in the area, but his opponent is rich, and, well probably not much constrained. Take a look at the video and, if you are in the area, please vote for Brian UPDATE:  As shown in the video, a scurrilous mailer was sent to voters in the Santa Clara Valley by an organization called the Neighborhood Empowerment Coalition that operates, among other things an astroturf website

October 12, 2014 0

An App Made for a Bunny

By News Desk

Eli Rabett Eli Rabett Eli Rabett is a not quite failed professorial techno-bunny, a chair election from retirement, at a wanna be research university that has a lot to be proud of but has swallowed the Kool-Aid.

Zombie Steve and the Hockey Stick
September 29, 2014 0

Zombie Steve and the Hockey Stick

By News Desk

toto said… My understanding is that "short-centering" was actually a bona-fide bug. If you’re computing a covariance matrix by simply multiplying the data with its own inverse, "short-centering" the data around the recent past will produce "fake covariance" of all series with the hockey-stickish series (with a negative sign, but that’s irrelevant).The actual PCs being computed are the same, but the ‘hockey-stickish’ ones now seem to explain much more of the variance – spuriously so.Unfortunately the auditor-in-chief proceeded to introduce a bug of his own, by keeping the same number of PCs as Mann after full-centering the matrix, even though by then you need to include more PCs to capture sufficient variance

Upsides Down and Backwards
September 28, 2014 0

Upsides Down and Backwards

By News Desk

Tweet Nick Stokes has his teeth into the hockey stick for a while.  Back in 2011 he explored Deep Climate’s exposure of the Wegman hanky panky, Nick found that if you didn’t do the cherry pick the results were much less hockey stick like for decentered PCs Then this March Nick explaned how McIntyre and McKitrick effectively truncated the Gaspe cedar series by fifty years, leaving, well not very much or really not very much global data for 1400-1450.   MBH had padded out that series from its end in 1404 by persistence, but a Steve McIntyre relied on a narrow reading (and Steve McIntyre is famed for such) of MBH 98 to justify that step, except they were very legalistic in not clearly explaining what they had done, until Nick Stokes worked his way through the thicket