June 3, 2013
IMF Halves Germany 2013 GDP Estimate; Still Too Optimistic
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Hard hitting global and local news
Hard hitting global and local news
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4 Synopsis Last month I stated " Manufacturing employment has grown for 43 months. I expect that trend to break next month. Production was up but inventories were way lower.
In response to Sweden Housing Crash Coming Up; Average Swede to Repay Mortgage in 140 Years; Swedish Central Bank Ponders New Rules I received an interesting email from reader Antti who writes …. Hi Mish, An interesting factor, which is potentially going to amplify the pain (a lot) in Sweden is how their law is written regarding apartment buildings and ownership
More: You Are About to Become Obsolete; Perhaps You Already Are (But You Don’t Realize It Yet)
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I just finished reading The Smith/Klein/Kalecki Theory of Austerity by Paul Krugman and I believe it is the most disingenuous piece he has ever written. Krugman comes out blazing with the statement ” Noah Smith recently offered an interesting take on the real reasons austerity garners so much support from elites, no matter how badly it fails in practice.
Please consider these Google-translated snips from the Libre Mercado report Wolfgang Schäuble supports Rajoy’s policies and Cites "impressive" Results of the Spanish reforms . Schäuble is convinced that "Spain has made enormous progress in recent years under the Government of Mariano Rajoy". So much so that now Spain "has a strong economy, reduced labor costs, has significantly increased its exports and has done a good job in restructuring its banking sector, also after the trial of the Troika"
Speculative Gold Bets at 5-Year Low; Metal Will Get “Crushed†Says Credit Suisse Sentiment is never a perfect timing instrument.Yet, with Hedge Fund Bets on Gold at Five-Year Low I am comfortable stating the gold bull market is not over.
Inquiring minds may be interested in a chart of Spanish public debt over time to see how the policies of Spain and the Troika are working out in practice. Evolution of Spanish Public Debt Over Time I picked that chart up from estrategiastendencias . My stab at a translation of text regarding public debt reads "Spanish banks are deluded.
The correct interpretation of course is "the risk of instability is huge". Please consider Haruhiko Kuroda says rates must stay low until economy improves . Haruhiko Kuroda, Japan’s central bank governor, said the country’s financial system could cope with rising interest rates only once the economy improved, as he laid out the stakes in his attempt to tame the volatile bond market.