Hard hitting global and local news
Exxon must hate your children because their business model depends on drilling for more and more of the fuels that cause climate disruption, even though fossil fuel companies have already discovered significantly more oil, gas and coal than scientists say we can safely burn . They are creating climate chaos every day — and they’re getting rich doing it..
With a rare exception or two, I’ve been blissfully ignoring Roger Pielke Jr’s recent stuff for the last year or so as he slid into irrelevance. As long as I didn’t read his stuff, I could keep open the possibility that he was doing something useful.
Tweet My general view both in general and as a policymaker in my small local-office pond is that a widely held (few expert dissenters) and strongly held (high confidence) consensus position might as well be a fact as far as the policymaking is concerned . A contradictory study is just that, a study. If it turns out to be accurate, then the consensus will eventually fracture soon enough and create problems for policymakers, but there’s no need or even a rational way for policymaking to jump the gun
Earth Hour: A Despicable Hoax “Earth Hour” special by Tony Cartalucci , Originally posted March 26, 2011 – Nothing embodies the corporate hijacked environmental movement more than the despicable hoax that is “Earth Hour.” Once a year, we are bombarded worldwide by a feel-good advertising campaign on TV, radio, billboards, fliers, in the newspaper and in every other conceivable way for an event that involves turning off the lights for one hour per year, to ” take a stand against climate change .” Image : What Al Gore doesn’t tell you: CO2 has been 1000’s of times higher during the Cretaceous period and sea levels have been so high North America featured an inland sea. …. Not only has science failed to prove that anthropogenic climate change is happening – to the extent proponents like the White House’s John Holdren have relabeled “Global Warming” to “Global Climate Change” to the now most ambiguous version, “Global Climate Disruption,” but the evidence suggests that the “scientists” peddling this theory have defrauded the public again and again.
Third Fool From the Left Ethon was looking hungry yesterday. Eli asked him (cautiously and from a distance) what was up. Turns out that he took a moving contract from Scrotum , to deliver Chris Monckton around the world where he could advance Mycroft’s Agenda 21. As the bunnies may recall, Joe Bast and the Heartland Mob had finally cottoned onto Chis’ unwitting, but effective, role in the UN plan to subjugated the world. Being from Chicago, and well funded by Bankroll Barry, they had sent some associates to London to terminate the annoyance. Fortunately, Mycroft had gotten a message from Peter Gleick (the matter having been discussed at the Heartland board meeting last winter, one of the memos held close) and was able to take measures to spirit Chris to safety and a world wide lecture tour, keeping one step ahead of the competition. Unfortunately, there had been no time to commission a transportation module from W&H Giddon, Saddlers and they had to make do with what Scrotum could scare up at the Extreme Restraints Bondage store deep in the East End. There were chafing consequences accounting for several pictures taken recently Eli kept adding pins to the map as Ethon flew Monckton from Scotland, to Rio to Qatar to the Antipodes, assuming that the bird was being well fed and was quite surprised by the rather thin appearance of his friend.  The scam doesn’t work anymore Eli, Ethon sadly told him. Monckton is discovering that you can’t get to the edge of crazy, there is always someone a bit further on the edge than you. Supporting a globe trotting lifestyle, a hunting lodge here and there, and the tailor is an expensive business and Chris has had trying times as funding for his main gig, denial of climate change, dries up. Scrotum has been furloughed and is looking for work in Washington, it is so bad. His Lordship has been trying birtherism, snake oil cures for everything from HIV to Graves disease, getting a gig in the House of Lords. Poor lad, he got tossed out of a crazy Brit right wing party for being " semi detached " Well Ethon, Eli replied, surely, somebunnies, somewhere, maybe at the ends of the earth have a need for more Monckton. Sadly, yes, said Ethon, but they don’t pay very well;)
This one was new to me : Fresh off a wave of success in the state Capitol last year, animal welfare groups are taking aim at a new target this year: hunting with lead ammunition. The Humane Society, Audubon California and Defenders of Wildlife are behind a major push to make California the first state to ban lead ammunition for all types of hunting…. ….environmentalists say a statewide ban is needed because overwhelming scientific evidence shows condors, bald eagles and other birds are still dying from lead poisoning when they eat dead deer and other animals shot by hunters…. “These people want to ban hunting
There appears to be a lot of Bayesian thumb sucking going on, maybe the first was Eli’s duo with Socrates , and, of course the bunnies know that James has been going on about uniform priors , and there is always Andrew Gelman . Now some, not Eli to be sure, might think that the recent election also gave a strong push to priors and p values and such. Nate Silver of the NYTimes blog five thirty eight has a book out which is reviewed in Science by Sam Wang and Ben Campbell, who also are in the election prognostication business. Silver, of course, is another guy with a Bayesian hammer looking for statistical nails and finding them all about. Eli thought a couple of paragraphs towards the end capture what the Rabett has been trying to beat into bunnies heads. Our biggest criticism of the book is that although statistics and Bayesian inference are powerful ideas, they are not a cure all. In his enthusiasm for the good Reverend, Silver has stuffed a fair bit into the same Procrustean bed. Silver uses the old fox-hedgehog analogy, saying that foxes (including himself) use many ideas, whereas hedgehogs focus on one subject only. But here he is a hedgehog with one big idea:statistics.