November 18, 2013
Don’t trust civil war predictions. Including mine.
Tweet Last week I listened to a Commonwealth Club podcast about Syria from early September, where I heard their invited speakers make retrospective fools of themselves as they poked fun at how the Obama Administration "boxed itself in" on chemical weapons in Syria. Hearing their predictions of a fiasco on that issue prompted me to write about my own predictions on the outcome of civil wars, which don’t seem that great.
